概括
军备竞赛中的技术进步正在创造破坏稳定的第一打击能力. 目前的军备控制措施不足以解决这些紧迫问题,有可能恢复反弹道导弹能力.
科学领域:
- 国际关系 国际关系
- 军事技术的军事技术.
- 军备控制政策的政策.
背景情况:
- 军备竞赛受到技术进步的重大影响.
- 洲际弹道导弹 (ICBM) 的现代化是一个关键的当代例子.
- 现有的军备控制框架难以跟上快速的技术变革.
研究的目的:
- 分析技术透对全球军备竞赛的影响.
- 检查ICBM现代化破坏稳定的影响.
- 评估当前军备控制在应对技术挑战方面的充分性.
主要方法:
- 审查军事应用当前的技术趋势.
- 对洲际弹道导弹现代化战略影响的分析.
- 对反卫星和弹道导弹防御研究的案例研究.
主要成果:
- 洲际弹道导弹的现代化正在赋予一个破坏稳定的首次打击能力.
- 军备控制的努力似乎不足以应对这种不断变化的威胁.
- 对反卫星和弹道导弹防御的研究提高了反弹道导弹能力的潜力.
结论:
- 渐进的技术改进对军备控制构成重大威胁.
- 国际社会必须将军备控制战略与技术进步相适应.
- 迫切需要解决1972年条约关于反弹道导弹的意图的侵蚀问题.
相关概念视频
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