压力引发的1994年m = 6.7北里奇,加利福尼亚州,地震的前任
概括
自1933年以来,南加利福尼亚州发生的大型地震已经将压力转移到附近的断层. 这些压力变化虽然很小,但可以影响未来洛杉矶附近的地震时间和发生情况.
科学领域:
- 固体地球地质物理学
- 地震学 地震学
- 构造学 构造学 构造学 构造学
背景情况:
- 地震可以改变附近断层的压力条件.
- 了解应力转移对于地震危险评估至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 为了建模自1933年以来由于历史地震 (M >/= 6) 造成的南加州断层的累积库伦压力变化.
- 评估这些压力变化对未来地震活动的潜在影响.
主要方法:
- 利用计算模型来模拟压力转移.
- 自1933年以来,分析了洛杉矶附近的历史地震数据 (时刻级M>/=6).
主要成果:
- 1933年和1952年的地震增加了1971年圣费尔南多地震现场的压力.
- 1971年圣费尔南多地震增加了1987年惠蒂尔海峡和1994年诺斯里奇破裂地点的压力.
- 1994年诺斯里奇地震增加了余震和表面断层区域的压力.
- 自1933年以来,累积应力变化超过1巴已经传递到树,塞拉马德雷,圣莫尼卡山脉,伊利西亚公园和纽波特-英格尔伍德断层.
结论:
- 从洛杉矶附近的中等到大地震的压力变化是显著的.
- 这些应力变化虽然很小,但如果断层接近故障,可以作为地震的触发因素.
- 压力转移可以提前预测未来地震发生的时间.
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