概括
美国的生产率增长仍然强,有助于提高生活水平,不会失去制造业的工作位. 像联邦赤字这样的短期威胁可能会影响未来的增长.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 劳动力市场分析 劳动力市场分析
- 生产力研究 生产力研究
背景情况:
- 美国长期生产力数据对于了解经济增长和生活水平至关重要.
- 人们担心制造业就业位可能流向其他国家.
- 美国服务业的就业增长也是比较经济分析的关注点.
研究的目的:
- 分析美国长期生产率增长趋势.
- 调查生产率对美国生活水平的影响.
- 评估对制造业失业担忧的合理性,并将美国服务业就业增长与国际趋势进行比较.
主要方法:
- 对美国长期生产率增长数据的分析.
- 检查美国制造业就业份额在全球的趋势.
- 美国和日本服务业就业增长的比较分析.
主要成果:
- 美国生产率的增长大大提高了生活水平.
- 没有证据表明美国制造业生产率下降趋势.
- 美国在全球制造业就业中的份额正在增加.
- 虽然美国的服务业就业增长了,但日本的就业增长速度是日本的三倍.
- 联邦赤字被认为是通过吸收储蓄来对生产率增长的短期威胁.
结论:
- 对制造业大量失业到其他国家的担忧没有得到长期数据的支持.
- 美国生产率增长强,尽管联邦赤字等短期因素存在风险.
- 需要针对储蓄和投资的政策干预,以维持未来的生产率增长.
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