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长期实验中的混乱与浮游生物社区的长期实验
Elisa Benincà1, Jef Huisman, Reinhard Heerkloss
1Aquatic Microbiology, Institute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, University of Amsterdam, Nieuwe Achtergracht 127, 1018 WS Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Nature
|February 15, 2008
概括
在一个复杂的波罗的海食物网的长期实验中证明了生态混乱. 这表明,物种相互作用可以产生不可预测的种群动态,挑战传统的生态稳定性假设.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 理论生态学理论生态学
- 海洋生态海洋生态学
背景情况:
- 数学模型表明,物种相互作用可能导致生态混乱.
- 对生态混乱的实验证据有限,特别是在复杂的系统中.
- 之前的研究经常使用简化,人工系统和短时间.
研究的目的:
- 通过实验来证明一个长期,复杂的生态食物网中的混乱.
- 在这样的系统中调查人口动态和可预测性.
- 挑战稳定性是食物网持久性所必需的假设.
主要方法:
- 建立了一个复杂的食物网从波罗的海在一个实验室 mesocosm.
- 包括细菌,植物浮游生物,动物浮游生物 (食草动物和捕食动物) 和破坏性动物.
- 在恒定的外部条件下,监测物种丰度每周两次,超过2300天.
主要成果:
- 观察到物种丰度在几个数量级上的显著波动.
- 确定了种群动态中的各种周期性,与物种相互作用相关.
- 计算出正的利亚普诺夫指数,表明每个物种的混乱动态.
- 发现可预测性仅限于短期 (15-30天).
结论:
- 复杂的食物网中的物种相互作用可以产生混乱.
- 混乱并不排除复杂的食物网的持续存在.
- 长期预测这种系统中的物种丰度基本上是不可能的.
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