在Myvatn湖的的高振幅波动和替代动态状态
Anthony R Ives1, Arni Einarsson, Vincent A A Jansen
1Department of Zoology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, Wisconsin 53706, USA. arives@wisc.edu
Nature
|March 7, 2008
概括
在中型Tanytarsus gracilentus中,复杂的种群动态被消费者资源模型中的替代动态状态解释. 资源补贴和环境变化驱动这些高幅度,不规则的波动.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 人口动态 人口动态
- 理论生态学理论生态学
背景情况:
- 复杂的种群动态在生态模型中很常见,但在自然界中记录较少.
- 在冰岛Myvatn湖中,中Tanytarsus gracilentus表现出大而不规则的密度波动.
研究的目的:
- 使用生态模型来解释Tanytarsus gracilentus复杂的种群动态.
- 研究替代动态状态和资源补贴在推动人口波动中的作用.
主要方法:
- 对Tanytarsus gracilentus的长期时间序列数据的分析.
- 将三个具有独特动态能力的消费者资源模型与中间数据相匹配.
- 在不同的初始条件和资源补贴下调查模型行为.
主要成果:
- 最适合的模型展示了替代动态状态 (固定点与高振幅周期).
- 不规则的,高幅度的波动是由于这些状态之间的随机性切换动态造成的.
- 人口波动幅度对资源补贴非常敏感,这可能会受到人为活动的影响,如疏.
结论:
- 替代动态状态为观察到的Tanytarsus gracilentus复杂种群动态提供了一个机制.
- 资源补贴和环境变化是这些波动的关键驱动因素.
- 人类对湖泊水文的影响可能会加剧人口的不稳定性,影响更广泛的生态系统.
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