相关实验视频
大规模私有化和后共产主义死亡率危机:跨国分析
David Stuckler1, Lawrence King, Martin McKee
1University of Cambridge, Department of Sociology, Faculty of Social and Political Sciences, Cambridge, UK.
Lancet (London, England)
|January 20, 2009
概括
后共产主义国家的快速大规模私有化显著增加了成年男性死亡率. 然而,高的社会资本减轻了这种影响,这表明对经济转型的政策影响.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
背景情况:
- 在20世纪90年代初,后共产主义欧洲国家成年人死亡率上升.
- 各国和时间之间的死亡率差异仍然无法解释.
- 之前的研究将经济转型速度与死亡率联系起来,但没有评估具体政策.
研究的目的:
- 实证地评估大规模私有化对成年人死亡率差异的作用. 在后共产主义国家.
- 调查大规模私有化是否解释了成年死亡率趋势的变化.
主要方法:
- 1989-2002年劳动年龄男性 (15-59岁) 年龄标准化死亡率的多变量纵向回归分析.
- 定义大规模私有化为快速转让国有企业 (≥25%在2年内) 使用券或内幕赠送.
- 对价格自由化,贸易自由化,收入变化,初始条件和其他混因素进行控制.
主要成果:
- 大规模私有化计划与短期成年男性死亡率增加12.8%有关.
- 私有化显著增加了男性失业率56.3%.
- 较高的社会资本 (≥45%的人口参加社会组织) 否定了私有化和死亡率增加之间的关联.
结论:
- 迅速的大规模私有化是后共产主义过渡时期成年人死亡率趋势的关键决定因素.
- 私有化对死亡率的负面影响在社会资本高的国家减少.
- 这些发现对于正在考虑类似的经济转型政策的国家来说是有意义的.
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