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持续的积极北大西洋振荡模式主导了中世纪气候异常
Valérie Trouet1, Jan Esper, Nicholas E Graham
1Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow, and Landscape Research (WSL), Zürcherstrasse 111, 8903 Birmensdorf, Switzerland. trouet@wsl.ch
概括
中世纪气候异常 (MCA) 呈现出持续的积极北大西洋振荡 (NAO). 这种气候变化与拉尼娜条件有关,与随后的小冰河时代 (LIA) 相反.
科学领域:
- 古气候学 古气候学
- 气候动力学 气候动力学
- 海洋学 海洋学 海洋学
背景情况:
- 中世纪气候异常 (MCA) 是欧洲一个重要的工业化前温暖时期.
- MCA的精确驱动因素及其过渡到小冰河时代 (LIA) 仍然不完全理解.
研究的目的:
- 在947年的时间内重建北大西洋振荡 (NAO).
- 调查NAO动态与MCA/LIA气候转型之间的关系.
- 探索可能与北大西洋循环相关的全球气候变化.
主要方法:
- 开发一个947年多十年的NAO重建.
- 对气候模型输出的分析和用于比较重建的代理数据.
- 全球分布的代理数据的合成,以确定大规模的气候模式.
主要成果:
- 在MCA期间发现了NAO持续的积极阶段.
- 观察到一个明显的转向较弱的NAO条件,导致LIA.
- 全球代理数据表明,从MCA到LIA的更广泛的气候过渡,可能受到类似拉尼尼亚的条件的影响.
结论:
- 该MCA的特点是强烈的阳性NAO,这表明了特定的大气循环模式.
- 过渡到LIA涉及到NAO的削弱,这表明气候的变化很大.
- 在MCA期间大西洋南部翻转循环的强化可能放大了全球气候变化,包括类似拉尼尼亚的条件.
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