大西洋迫使西非持续的干旱
T M Shanahan1, J T Overpeck, K J Anchukaitis
1Department of Geosciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA. tshanahan@jsg.utexas.edu
概括
西非西非是西非的一个地区.
科学领域:
- 古气候学 古气候学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 非洲季风动力学 非洲季风动力学
背景情况:
- 自20世纪以来,西非持续的干旱已被记录在案.
- 归因于大西洋海洋表面的温度,但20世纪前的干旱不太了解.
- 重建过去的干旱为当前的气候变化提供了背景.
研究的目的:
- 为了重建过去三千年来非洲季风的自然变化.
- 了解20世纪以前干旱的持续时间,严重程度和起源.
- 评估最近的干旱是否在长期背景下是异常的.
主要方法:
- 来自加纳博斯姆特维湖沉积物的地质形态,同位素和地化学证据的分析.
- 过去非洲季风变化的重建.
- 干旱间隔与大西洋海面温度变化的相关性.
主要成果:
- 持续数十年到几个世纪的干旱是非洲季风的特征.
- 这些严重的干旱间隔与大西洋温度的自然变化有关.
- 与过去三千年相比,近几十年的干旱并非异常.
结论:
- 非洲季风表现出自然的变化,包括长期的严重干旱.
- 过去的干旱模式表明,未来可能出现更长,更严重的干旱.
- 了解长期变化对于西非适应气候变化至关重要.
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