资源管理周期和被采集的野生动物种群的可持续性
John M Fryxell1, Craig Packer, Kevin McCann
1Department of Integrative Biology, University of Guelph, 50 Stone Road East, Guelph, Ontario N1G 2W1, Canada. jfryxell@uoguelph.ca
概括
不断的采摘可以导致野生动物种群的崩. 管理或用户行为的延迟反应可以创建循环,增加崩风险. 这项研究模拟并证实了狩猎鹿和鹿种群中的这些动态.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 人口动态 人口动态
- 野生动物管理 野生动物管理
背景情况:
- 持续的收获政策可能会破坏野生动物种群的稳定.
- 增长率的随机变化加剧了风险.
- 对资源丰富性的反应延迟在资源管理中很常见.
研究的目的:
- 调查收获过程中的弱补偿反应如何影响种群动态.
- 模拟收获周期的出现及其与人口崩的联系.
- 测试模型预测使用从狩猎类动物群体的经验数据.
主要方法:
- 开发了动态系统模型,以模拟不同收获反下的种群动态.
- 将资源用户和管理人员的延迟响应纳入模型.
- 分析了白尾鹿和鹿种群的时间序列数据.
主要成果:
- 模型预测了由于反应滞后而导致的收获种群的十年周期.
- 收获力度和配额显示长期滞后,而收获水平显示中等滞后.
- 来自鹿和鹿种群的经验数据支持了该模型的预测.
结论:
- 收获中的弱补偿反应可以诱导周期性种群动态.
- 这些周期增加了灾难性的野生动物种群崩的风险.
- 管理策略需要考虑行为滞后,以确保人口的可持续性.
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