带企作为气候变化指标的可靠性
Claire Saraux1, Céline Le Bohec, Joël M Durant
1Université de Strasbourg, Institut Pluridisciplinaire Hubert Curien, 23 rue Becquerel, 67087 Strasbourg, France. claire.saraux@c-strasbourg.fr
Nature
|January 14, 2011
概括
翅膀带带对国王企的生存和繁殖产生负面影响,影响了种群增长. 长期研究揭示了严重的危害,质疑了气候变化研究当前的带带实践.
科学领域:
- 海洋生态海洋生态学
- 气候变化生物学
- 野生动物群体的动态.
背景情况:
- 南大洋的生态系统容易受到气候变化的影响.
- 像企这样的顶级捕食者是生态系统健康的关键指标.
- 企种群动态经常使用带进行研究,其影响仍在争论中.
研究的目的:
- 评估翅膀带带对金企生存和繁殖的长期影响.
- 为了评估带带对企对气候变化的反应的影响.
- 质疑当前在生态研究中的带计划的有效性.
主要方法:
- 这是一项为期10年的纵向研究,研究了自由活动的王企 (Aptenodytes patagonicus).
- 带带的和没有带带的个体之间的生存和繁殖率的比较.
- 对繁殖现象学和食旅行时间的分析,与带状况相关.
主要成果:
- 带带的企比没有带带的鸟类少了41%的小鸟和16个百分点的生存率.
- 带带的负面影响甚至在10年后仍然存在,影响了繁殖到来和食行为.
- 对气候变化 (海面温度,南方振荡指数) 的反应在带状和无带状企之间有显著差异.
结论:
- 翅膀带带对国王企的生命历史特征有相当大的长期有害影响.
- 企适应带带的假设被长期数据驳斥.
- 目前的带划分方案可能会损害对海洋生态系统气候变化影响评估的可靠性.
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