极地臭氧消耗对亚热带降雨的影响
S M Kang1, L M Polvani, J C Fyfe
1Department of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA. smk2182@columbia.edu
概括
臭氧层的枯竭已经改变了南半球的喷流,大大改变了亚热带降雨模式. 这项研究将极地臭氧损失与南部亚热带地区降雨量增加联系在一起,影响全球水文循环.
科学领域:
- 大气科学 大气科学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 水文学的水文学
背景情况:
- 在过去的50年里,臭氧洞已经明显地将南半球的热带外西部喷气极向南移动.
- 外热带循环变化越来越多地被认为对更广泛的气候模式产生影响.
研究的目的:
- 调查臭氧损耗引起的循环变化与亚热带降雨之间的因果关系.
- 量化极地臭氧消耗对观测到的亚热带降雨趋势的贡献.
主要方法:
- 利用气候模型模拟南半球在减少极地臭氧条件下的循环.
- 将降水变化的模型输出与1979年至2000年的观测数据进行了比较.
主要成果:
- 气候模型显示,当将臭氧层损耗考虑在内时,南方亚热带降雨在南方夏季显著增加.
- 从1979-2000年观察到的亚热带降雨模式与仅由臭氧层损耗驱动的模型模拟非常相似.
- 模型和观测数据都将亚热带加湿与热带外西部喷气流向极转移联系起来.
结论:
- 极地臭氧消耗是南半球亚热带降水变化的重要驱动因素.
- 外热带西部喷气流的极向转移受臭氧的影响,在调节亚热带水文学方面发挥着至关重要的作用.
- 极地对亚热带地区的水文循环产生重大影响.
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