物种-区域关系总是高估了息地丧失导致的灭绝率
Fangliang He1, Stephen P Hubbell
1State Key Laboratory of Biocontrol and School of Life Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China. fhe@mail.sysu.edu.cn
Nature
|May 20, 2011
概括
息地丧失导致灭绝,但目前的估计可能是夸张的. 灭绝债务,以前认为代表了致力于灭绝的物种,在很大程度上是一个采样工件. 这表明,实际灭绝需要更多的息地丧失.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 保护生物学 保护生物学
- 生物多样性科学 生物多样性科学
背景情况:
- 息地丧失是全球物种灭绝的主要驱动因素.
- 由于缺乏直接验证方法,估计灭绝率具有挑战性.
- "灭绝债务"的概念一直被用来解释预测和观察到的灭绝之间的差异.
研究的目的:
- 调查"灭绝债务"概念在估计灭绝率时的有效性.
- 识别和纠正与息地丧失相关的物种-区域关系 (SAR) 分析中的采样文物.
- 为了更准确地估计导致物种灭绝所需的息地损失.
主要方法:
- 对物种-区域关系 (SARs) 的数学分析.
- 在SAR构造中的采样问题与灭绝推断的比较.
- 经验验证使用全球森林图片数据和美国流鸟的范围.
主要成果:
- "灭绝债务"在很大程度上是一个采样工件,而不是真正衡量已发生的灭绝.
- 导致物种灭绝所需的面积远大于首次发现物种所需的面积.
- 使用当前的间接方法,对灭绝率的高估可能超过160%.
结论:
- 目前用于估计息地丧失导致的灭绝率的方法,特别是那些依赖SARs的方法,大大高估计了物种丧失.
- 要使物种灭绝,需要比以前计算的更大程度的息地丧失.
- 尽管有这样的发现,息地丧失仍然是对生物多样性的关键和不断升级的威胁,需要持续的保护努力.
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