热带森林和大草原对关键转型的全球弹性
Marina Hirota1, Milena Holmgren, Egbert H Van Nes
1Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management, Wageningen University, Wageningen, Netherlands.
概括
热带森林和草原可能存在作为替代的稳定状态,具有影响过渡的关键临界点. 这项研究提供了三种不同的植被状态及其对气候变化的弹性.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 生物地理学是生物地理学.
背景情况:
- 热带森林和大草原生态系统被假设为替代的稳定状态.
- 这些生态系统中关键转型和临界点的证据是有限的.
- 当前的气候模型通常假定植被的反应是逐渐的,而不是突然的变化.
研究的目的:
- 调查热带植被的替代稳定状态的存在.
- 为了确定转折点,并了解不同植被状态的弹性.
- 为下一代气候模型的开发提供信息.
主要方法:
- 分析了非洲,澳大利亚和南美洲的树木覆盖分布数据.
- 对植被状态的吸引力盆地的实证重建.
- 评估与降雨模式相关的状态弹性.
主要成果:
- 强有力的证据发现了三个不同的植被吸引:森林,大草原和没有树木的状态.
- 这些状态的弹性普遍随着降水水平而变化.
- 确定易于在植被状态之间倾斜的区域.
结论:
- 这项研究证实了热带地区存在不同的,稳定的植被状态.
- 降水是决定这些州的弹性和潜在临界点的关键因素.
- 这些发现需要新一代的气候模型,包括突然的植被变化.
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