在过去的1450年里,北极海冰的重建变化
Christophe Kinnard1, Christian M Zdanowicz, David A Fisher
1Centro de Estudios Avanzados en Zonas Áridas, Benavente 980, Casilla 554, La Serena, 1720170, Chile. christophe.kinnard@ceaza.cl
Nature
|November 25, 2011
概括
北极海冰的减少是1450年来前所未有的,影响了气候和生态系统. 增强的大西洋水流是一个关键的驱动因素,与人类引起的变暖有关.
科学领域:
- 古气候学 古气候学
- 北极海洋学 北极海洋学
- 气候科学 气候科学
背景情况:
- 近几十年来,北极海冰面积显著减少.
- 长期数据很少,限制了对自然海冰变化的理解.
- 评估当前趋势的异常需要历史背景.
研究的目的:
- 为了重建过去的夏季,在过去的1450年里,北极地区的海冰扩展.
- 确定当前北极海冰减少趋势是否是前所未有的.
主要方法:
- 利用来自北极周边地区的高分辨率地面代理记录网络.
- 重建了历史的夏季海冰延伸,以建立长期的基线.
主要成果:
- 重建的海冰面积数据表明,目前的减少的持续时间和规模在过去的1,450年中是前所未有的.
- 温暖的大西洋水进入北极的增强引流被确定为多十年海冰损失的主要驱动因素.
- 海冰和大西洋南部翻转循环之间的非线性反可能有助于这种现象.
结论:
- 北极海冰是气候变化的积极组成部分,而不仅仅是一个被动的指标.
- 最近夏季北极海冰的减少与人为变暖相一致.
- 这些发现强调了气候变化对北极系统的影响的严重性.
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