大地震经常发生在一个孤立的板块边界断层上
Kelvin R Berryman1, Ursula A Cochran, Kate J Clark
1GNS Science, Post Office Box 30-368, Lower Hutt 5040, New Zealand. k.berryman@gns.cri.nz
概括
长期地震记录很少,阻碍了复发行为研究. 这项关于新西兰阿尔卑斯山断层的研究揭示了8000年来近乎定期的大型地震的复发,支持类似断层的依赖时间的地震危险模型.
科学领域:
- 古代地震学 (paleoseismology) 是一种古地震学.
- 地质物理学 地质物理学
- 构造学 构造学 构造学 构造学
背景情况:
- 大地震的有限地质记录使理解地震复发模式 (定期,随机或集群) 变得复杂.
- 新西兰的阿尔卑斯断层是一个主要的冲击滑动断层,滑动率很高,可以容纳显著的板块边界运动.
研究的目的:
- 重建阿尔卑斯山断层长期 (8000年) 大地震记录.
- 测试有关地震复发行为的假设 (常规与随机/集群).
- 评估依赖时间的地震复发模型对地震危险估计的适用性.
主要方法:
- 在Hokuri Creek挖掘和分析断层附近的沉积物.
- 古代地震事件层的年代测定使用了分层和地质年代测定技术.
- 对地震复发间隔的统计分析.
主要成果:
- 在阿尔卑斯山断层建立了24次表面破裂地震的8000年记录.
- 复发间隔的变化系数计算为0.33,表明近乎常规的行为.
- 观察到的规律性归因于断层的简单几何形状,高滑动率和孤立的行为.
结论:
- 阿尔卑斯山断层几乎经常出现重大地震.
- 时间依赖的地震复发模型适合在类似的孤立,高滑动率的冲击滑动断层上进行地震危险评估.
- 这项研究为了解地震行为和改善全球地震危险模型提供了宝贵的见解.
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