评论"多年预测每月平均大西洋南部翻转循环在26.5°N"
Gabriel A Vecchi1, Rym Msadek, Thomas L Delworth
1National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ 08540-6649, USA. Gabriel.A.Vecchi@noaa.gov
概括
对大西洋南部翻转循环 (AMOC) 进行熟练的多年预测的说法没有得到支持. AMOC的运输预测不超过简单的气候周期,使稳定性的自信预测无效.
科学领域:
- 海洋学 海洋学 海洋学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 预测建模预测建模
背景情况:
- 大西洋南部翻转循环 (AMOC) 是地球气候系统的关键组成部分.
- 准确预测AMOC的未来状态对于理解气候变化至关重要.
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