步行者循环的减缓是由热带印度太平洋变暖所驱动的
Hiroki Tokinaga1, Shang-Ping Xie, Clara Deser
1International Pacific Research Center, Department of Meteorology, SOEST, University of Hawaii at Manoa, 1680 East West Road, Honolulu, Hawaii 96822, USA.
Nature
|November 16, 2012
概括
海洋表面温度 (SST) 模式,而不是大气变化,主要削弱了沃克的循环超过六十年. 这种海洋驱动因素解释了热带太平洋对流的放缓和变化.
科学领域:
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 海洋学 海洋学 海洋学
- 大气科学 大气科学
背景情况:
- 全球平均海面温度 (SST) 已经上升,导致影响区域降水的空间变化.
- 沃克循环,一个热带太平洋大气翻转,在本世纪已经放缓了.
- 以前的研究将这种放缓归因于全球变暖导致的水文循环减弱.
研究的目的:
- 探索和量化海洋表面温度 (SST) 变暖模式对沃克循环的影响.
- 为了调查过去60年来沃克循环放缓的主要驱动因素.
主要方法:
- 利用大气模型进行模拟SST变暖模式的实验.
- 从水桶样本SST和夜间海洋表面空气温度数据中重建SST趋势.
- 将模型输出与观察到的沃克循环和大气对流的变化进行比较.
主要成果:
- 从1950年到2009年,SST的变暖模式被确定为减弱沃克循环的主要原因.
- 一个重建的SST趋势显示,热带印度-太平洋地区的区域梯度减少.
- 模型实验强大模拟了沃克循环放缓和对流向向东的转移.
结论:
- 观察到的沃克循环的减速主要是由海洋过程,特别是SST模式驱动的.
- 这些发现突出了海面温度空间变化对大气循环的重大影响.
- 这项研究阐明了SST趋势在最近步行者循环变化中的主导作用.
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