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由自然与人为强迫引起的全球降水变化不同
Jian Liu1, Bin Wang, Mark A Cane
1Key Laboratory of Virtual Geographic Environment of Ministry of Education, School of Geography Science, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210023, China. jliu@njnu.edu.cn
Nature
|February 1, 2013
概括
全球变暖根据其原因对降水产生不同的影响. 太阳辐射变暖加强太平洋温度梯度并增加降雨量,与温室气体变暖不同,它削弱了梯度并减少了降雨量.
科学领域:
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 大气物理学 大气物理学
- 古气候学 古气候学
背景情况:
- 全球变暖改变了降水模式,有争议的地区变化.
- 热带太平洋的海面温度梯度影响全球降雨量.
- 过去的太阳能变暖增加了太平洋梯度,而模型显示温室气体变暖削弱了它们.
研究的目的:
- 在过去和未来的变暖期间协调太平洋海面温度梯度的相互矛盾的发现.
- 研究太阳辐射与温室气体对气候的影响的不同.
- 解释中世纪温暖时期和20世纪末之间的降水模式的差异.
主要方法:
- 利用气候模型模拟来分析热带太平洋海面温度梯度.
- 对比气候对太阳辐射增加和温室气体强迫增加的变暖反应.
- 检查了全球热层能源预算,平衡潜热释放和辐射冷却.
主要成果:
- 热带太平洋海面温度梯度随着太阳辐射变暖而增加,随着温室气体强迫而减少.
- 温室气体变暖导致降雨量减少,特别是在热带地区,与太阳能变暖相比,全球温度同样上升.
- 这解释了为什么在模型模拟中,20世纪后期更温暖,但比中世纪温暖时期降水量更少.
结论:
- 由于温室气体的变暖,与太阳辐射变暖相比,产生了独特的气候特征.
- 对热层能量预算的不同影响解释了观察到的降水差异.
- 了解这些区别对于准确的气候变化预测和影响评估至关重要.
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