野生鸟类的种群增长是缓冲的,以防止现象学不匹配
Thomas E Reed1, Vidar Grøtan, Stephanie Jenouvrier
1Department of Animal Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology, Wageningen, Netherlands. t.reed@nioo.knaw.nl
概括
气候变化导致了生态不匹配,但巨乳种群表现出了弹性. 放松的竞争可以抵消早期繁殖造成的健康损失,防止尽管环境变化,人口减少.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 进化生物学 进化生物学
- 气候变化生物学 气候变化生物学
背景情况:
- 环境变化正在改变自然选择.
- 量化持续的定向选择对人口的影响至关重要,但研究不足.
- 气候变化引起的现象不匹配是野生种群日益关注的问题.
研究的目的:
- 调查野生鸟群中气候变化引起的现象不匹配的人口成本.
- 为了确定繁殖时间和食物供应之间的不匹配是否会对大乳头的种群增长产生负面影响.
- 确定可能缓冲人口对环境变化的负面影响的机制.
主要方法:
- 利用近四十年的个人级别生命史数据从一个巨乳群体.
- 分析了现象不匹配和人口增长率的年间变化之间的关系.
- 研究了因不匹配而导致的健身损失与因放松的竞争而导致的健身增益之间的相互作用.
主要成果:
- 由于现象学不匹配,更温暖的春天加剧了对大乳头早期产卵日期的方向选择.
- 现象不匹配的年间变化没有显著影响人口增长.
- 确定了一种机制,即放宽竞争可以抵消因不匹配而导致的健身损失.
结论:
- 野生种群可以承受显著的不适应转变的气候条件,而不会立即的人口下降.
- 生态因素,如竞争,可以缓冲人口对环境变化的影响.
- 了解这些缓冲机制是预测物种对全球变暖的反应的关键.
相关概念视频
Conservation of Declining Populations
Conservation of declining population focuses on ways of detecting, diagnosing, and halting a population decline. The approach uses methods to prevent populations from going extinct.
Limits to Natural Selection
Organisms that are well-adapted to their environment are more likely to survive and reproduce. However, natural selection does not lead to perfectly adapted organisms. Several factors constrain natural selection.
Population Growth
Population size is dynamic, increasing with birth rates and immigration, and decreasing with death rates and emigration. In ideal conditions with unlimited resources, populations can increase exponentially, which plots as a J-shaped growth rate curve of population size against time. This type of curve is characteristic of newly-introduced invasive species, or populations that have suffered catastrophic declines and are rebounding.
Frequency-dependent Selection
When the fitness of a trait is influenced by how common it is (i.e., its frequency) relative to different traits within a population, this is referred to as frequency-dependent selection. Frequency-dependent selection may occur between species or within a single species. This type of selection can either be positive—with more common phenotypes having higher fitness—or negative, with rarer phenotypes conferring increased fitness.
Energy Budgets
Organisms must balance energy intake with the energy required for growth, maintenance and reproduction. These trade-offs result in a variety of survivorship and reproductive strategies, including semelparity and iteroparity. Semelparous species, like annual plants, have only one reproductive episode in their lifetimes and consequently have short lifespans. Iteroparous species, by contrast, have many reproductive events during their lifetimes but have relatively few offspring. These two...
Predator-Prey Interactions
Predators consume prey for energy. Predators that acquire prey and prey that avoid predation both increase their chances of survival and reproduction (i.e., fitness). Routine predator-prey interactions elicit mutual adaptations that improve predator offenses, such as claws, teeth, and speed, as well as prey defenses, including crypsis, aposematism, and mimicry. Thus, predator-prey interactions resemble an evolutionary arms race.


