在187个国家/地区的吸烟率和香烟消费,1980-2012年
Marie Ng1, Michael K Freeman1, Thomas D Fleming1
1Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle.
JAMA
|January 9, 2014
概括
在1980年至2012年期间,全球每日吸烟率在男性和女性中显著下降. 然而,由于人口增长,吸烟者的总数增加了,这凸显了烟草使用的持续威胁.
科学领域:
- 全球健康 全球健康
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 控制烟草的控制方式
背景情况:
- 烟草使用是疾病的主要全球风险因素.
- 了解烟草流行和消费的国家趋势对于有效的公共卫生干预和评估烟草控制战略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 根据年龄和性别估计全球每日吸烟的普遍性.
- 为了确定从1980年到2012年,在187个国家/地区的人均每天吸烟的平均数量.
主要方法:
- 2,102项全国代表性烟草使用调查的系统识别.
- 调整调查数据以适应日常吸烟的不同定义.
- 综合了38,315个年龄-性别-国家-年观察,使用空间-时间高斯过程回归.
- 流行率和消费数据的建模,以估计每名吸烟者每天的香烟数量.
主要成果:
- 全球年龄标准化每日吸烟率从41.2%降至31.1%,男性降至10.6%,女性降至6.2% (1980-2012).
- 患病率下降的速度在2006年之后放缓了.
- 尽管患病率下降,但每日吸烟者的总数从7.21亿增加到9.67亿.
- 在不同国家,年龄组和性别之间观察到流行和消费的显著差异.
结论:
- 虽然全球吸烟率有所下降,但人口增长导致吸烟者的绝对数量增加.
- 烟草使用仍然是全球健康的重大威胁.
- 需要加强烟草控制工作,以减轻烟草对健康的影响.
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