气候变化. 气候变化. 六个世纪的变化和极端在一个结合的海洋和陆地生态系统
Bryan A Black1, William J Sydeman2, David C Frank3
1University of Texas Marine Science Institute, 750 Channel View Drive, Port Aransas, TX 78373, USA. bryan.black@utexas.edu.
概括
近几十年来,加利福尼亚电流的沿海上游变性显著增加,可能会影响海洋生态系统. 这一趋势可能是由极端的冬季天气驱动的,影响海洋生物和渔业.
科学领域:
- 海洋生态海洋生态学
- 气候科学是气候科学.
- 海洋学 海洋学 海洋学
背景情况:
- 沿海上游在东部边界流中支持生产生态系统.
- 最近上游变化的趋势引发了生态方面的担忧.
- 仪表记录太短,无法评估工业化前的变化极限.
研究的目的:
- 重建过去的加利福尼亚流中的气候变化.
- 为了将最近的上升变化与长期历史水平进行比较.
- 为了确定最近上游变化的驱动因素.
主要方法:
- 为加利福尼亚电流开发了576年的气候重建.
- 分析了与冬季上升水源相关的气候变量.
- 将最近的变化与整个600年的重建进行比较.
主要成果:
- 在20世纪后期,上游变异性增加到600年来未见的水平.
- 这一增长是由极端的冬季条件推动的,冬季条件有利于下降.
- 现代的变化水平在过去600年中只有两次匹配.
结论:
- 加利福尼亚州最近的增长 当前的上游变化在历史上是显著的.
- 极端的冬季气候事件是这种现代趋势的关键驱动力.
- 降低生产率威胁到具有商业和保护重要性的海洋捕食者.
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