人类对大气二氧化碳季节性的直接影响来自农田生产率的提高
Josh M Gray1, Steve Frolking2, Eric A Kort3
1Department of Earth and Environment, Boston University, Boston, Massachussetts 02215, USA.
Nature
|November 21, 2014
概括
农业的增长显著影响大气中的二氧化碳 (CO2) 季节性. 增加的作物生产,特别是玉米,解释了北半球二氧化碳季节性幅度上升的很大一部分.
科学领域:
- 大气科学 大气科学
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 农业科学 农业科学
背景情况:
- 北半球大气中二氧化碳 (CO2) 的季节性幅度在过去50年中增加了50%.
- 这种增长与生态系统的变化有关,如增强的光合作用和植被转移.
- 改变二氧化碳季节性的确切原因仍然不确定.
研究的目的:
- 研究农业生产率在大气二氧化碳季节性变化中的作用.
- 量化增加作物生产对二氧化碳季节幅度变化的贡献.
主要方法:
- 使用生产统计和碳核算模型.
- 分析了北半球外热带农业的1961年至2008年的数据.
- 专注于关键作物:玉米,小麦,大米和大豆.
主要成果:
- 农业生产率的增加占大气二氧化碳季节性观察到的变化的25%.
- 1961年至2008年间,热带以外的玉米,小麦,大米和大豆产量增长了240% .
- 这导致农田在生长季节的净碳吸收增加了0.33 petagram.
- 玉米产量是最大的贡献者,这是由于美国中西部和中国北部的强化.
结论:
- 提高农业生产率是大气二氧化碳季节性的重要,但经常被忽视的驱动因素.
- 强化农业实践,特别是玉米,对全球碳循环产生重大影响.
- 农业生产对二氧化碳季节性的总影响可能超过目前的估计.
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