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使用高分辨率的CO2记录评估了Plio-Pleistocene气候敏感性
M A Martínez-Botí1, G L Foster1, T B Chalk1
1Ocean and Earth Science, University of Southampton, National Oceanography Centre Southampton, Southampton, SO14 3ZH, UK.
Nature
|February 6, 2015
概括
地球对二氧化碳 (CO2) 的气候敏感性在温暖的普略纪低于寒冷的普纪. 这种差异是由于冰白度反,而不是意想不到的气候反.
科学领域:
- 古气候学 古气候学
- 气候建模 气候建模
- 地球系统科学 地球系统科学
背景情况:
- 气候对辐射强迫的敏感性可能因背景气候条件而异.
- 在测试这个理论时,古气候数据是有限的.
- 重建过去的大气二氧化碳 (CO2) 水平对于理解气候敏感性至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 测试地球气候对辐射强迫的敏感性是否取决于背景气候.
- 为了重建大气中的二氧化碳水平在新纪晚期.
- 为了比较世时期的气候敏感性与世后期的气候敏感性.
主要方法:
- 使用多个站点的同位素记录进行二氧化碳重建.
- 分析了普略纪后期 (3.3到230万年前) 的气候数据.
- 纳入海平面重建以考虑冰体积的变化.
主要成果:
- 地球系统对二氧化碳的敏感性在温暖的普略世相比,在寒冷的普略世晚期是地球系统对二氧化碳的敏感性的一半.
- 灵敏度的差异归因于在普莱斯托时代的冰白度反.
- 当考虑到冰的白度反时,平衡气候敏感性被发现是相同的.
结论:
- 在温暖的普略纪期间,没有意外的气候反.
- 当前的气候模型准确地预测了平衡气候对二代气候的敏感性.
- 未来的气候预测与每次二氧化碳翻倍的接受范围为1.5K至4.5K保持一致,不包括长期的冰白度反.
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