风险成本效益分析的实际情况
1Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Department of Social and Decision Sciences, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, USA.
概括
了解形式分析的局限性是有效决策的关键. 在分析中承认道德和科学判断, 通过合作改善政策成果.
科学领域:
- 决策科学
- 政策分析
- 科学方法论
背景情况:
- 正式分析越来越多地被用于决策.
- 分析中固有的主观性,源于伦理和科学判断,影响其实用性.
- 人们对这些主观因素的认识和管理方法有所增长.
研究的目的:
- 审查在正式分析中理解和管理主观性的发展.
- 为了说明设计,执行和解释分析的挑战.
- 从科学和分析实践中获得的经验教训.
主要方法:
- 对形式分析的发展进行回顾.
- 分析设计,执行和解释的说明性例子.
- 综合了从科学和实际应用中学到的经验.
主要成果:
- 当从伦理和科学判断中产生的固有局限性被理解时,正式分析是有价值的.
- 处理这些判断的方法有所进步.
- 分析师和决策者之间的协作过程至关重要.
结论:
- 正式分析的有效使用需要承认和管理伦理和科学主观性.
- 合作有助于分析师和决策者相互了解需求和能力.
- 经验教训强调了跨学科和协作方法在分析中的重要性.
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