关于"估计心理科学的可复制性"的评论
Daniel T Gilbert1, Gary King2, Stephen Pettigrew2
1Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA. gilbert@wjh.harvard.edu.
概括
开放科学合作
科学领域:
- 心理学科学
- 复制性研究
背景情况:
- 开放科学协作 (OSC) 在2015年的一篇论文中报道了心理学科学中的低可重现性.
- 这篇OSC论文试图复制100项先前发表的研究.
研究的目的:
- 重新评估OSC论文中的统计说法.
- 根据OSC数据评估心理科学的实际可复制性.
主要方法:
- 在OSC文件中提出的数据的统计再分析.
- 在OSC出版物中发现特定的统计错误.
主要成果:
- 欧共体的论文包含了三个重大统计错误.
- 这些错误使得复制性低的结论无效.
- 经过校正后的分析表明在心理科学中可重复性很高.
结论:
- 关于低可复制性的OSC最初的结论是没有根据的.
- 现有数据实际上支持心理科学中的高可重复性.
- 心理学中的复制研究表明了强有力的发现.
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