美国的枪支立法和枪支死亡率:州一级的横截面研究
Bindu Kalesan1, Matthew E Mobily2, Olivia Keiser3
1Department of Medicine, Boston University, Boston, MA, USA.
Lancet (London, England)
|March 15, 2016
概括
实施对购买枪支和弹药的普遍背景调查以及枪支识别可以显著降低美国的枪支死亡率. 这项研究强调了有效的枪支立法策略.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生
- 流行病学
- 关于枪支暴力的研究
背景情况:
- 美国各州已经制定了各种各样的枪支法,
- 现有的法律在减少枪支死亡的有效性上有所不同.
- 布雷迪法作为一个基本的联邦枪支管制措施.
研究的目的:
- 确定特定枪支法律与整体枪支死亡率之间的关联.
- 预测联邦枪支立法对死亡率的潜在影响.
主要方法:
- 从2008年到2010年进行的跨部门,州级数据分析.
- 包括25个枪支法律,枪支所有权,出口率,非枪支杀人案和失业数据.
- 用于计算枪支死亡率的发生率比率 (IRR) 的Poisson回归.
主要成果:
- 在25个枪支法中,有9个与死亡率的降低有关;9个与死亡率的增加有关.
- 全球背景检查,弹药背景检查和枪支识别是最有效的.
- 联邦政府的实施可以将全国枪支死亡率降低50%以上.
结论:
- 很少有州的枪支法有效地减少死亡率,强调有针对性的立法.
- 枪支和弹药的普遍背景调查以及枪支识别显示,有可能大幅减少国家死亡率.
- 证据支持专注于具体,有效的枪支法律来减少枪支暴力.
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