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跨种类和食物层面的气候现象敏感性
Stephen J Thackeray1, Peter A Henrys1, Deborah Hemming2
1Centre for Ecology &Hydrology, Lancaster Environment Centre, Library Avenue, Bailrigg, Lancaster, Lancashire LA1 4AP, UK.
Nature
|July 1, 2016
概括
气候变化对物种的影响
科学领域:
- 生态学
- 气候变化生物学
- 现象学
背景情况:
- 对气候变化的现象反应因物种而异,可能会破坏生态相互作用和生态系统功能.
- 量化气候变化对不同食物层的影响对于评估这些威胁至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 量化不同物种和热量级的气候敏感度的变化.
- 评估气候变化对各种食物层的现象时间的影响.
主要方法:
- 应用于1003个陆地和水生现象学数据集的气候敏感性概况方法.
- 与温度和降水数据进行空间匹配的现象数据.
- 使用了本世纪中叶的气候变化预测.
主要成果:
- 气候敏感性在各个分类和食物群体的方向,大小和时间上有显著的变化.
- 与其他群体相比,次要消费者对气候敏感度始终较低.
- 预计初级消费者在现象事件时间 (平均6.2天早) 中会经历最显著的变化.
结论:
- 由于气候变化造成的现象变化在物种和食量层面上并不均.
- 主要消费者面临更大的现象变化,可能导致生态失调.
- 了解特定物种的气候敏感性对于预测生态系统对气候变化的反应至关重要.
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