在轴海拔上可预测的通胀行为和共同爆发变形
Scott L Nooner1, William W Chadwick2
1University of North Carolina Wilmington, Wilmington, NC 28403, USA. nooners@uncw.edu.
概括
海底变形监测显示了岩的增加和可预测的喷发. 一个有线天文台的实时数据成功预测了2015年的喷发,
科学领域:
- 火山学
- 地质学
- 海洋地质学
背景情况:
- 在火山的地面变形表明地下岩运动.
- 轴海山的喷发活动与岩石压力和膨胀有关.
研究的目的:
- 分析海底变形数据以了解轴心海山的岩供应和喷发可预测性.
- 通过海底有线观测仪记录火山缩和倾斜的第一次实时记录.
主要方法:
- 2011-2015年海底变形测量的分析.
- 使用新的海底电缆观测台实时监测火山活动.
- 模拟变形以确定地下压力源.
主要成果:
- 在2011年至2015年间发现岩供应增加了四倍.
- 根据变形模式成功预测了2015年的喷发.
- 观测台记录了喷发动态的真实时间通气和倾斜.
- 模拟显示在东部火山口下方有一个急剧下降的前置球形压力源.
结论:
- 轴海山的喷发是通胀可预测的, 可能是由关键的岩层压力引发的.
- 实时海底观测是监测和预测火山爆发的有效工具.
- 地表变形数据和建模提供了关于岩储层结构的见解.
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