由于上层海洋翻转较弱, 最近海洋碳吸收增加
Tim DeVries1,2, Mark Holzer3,4, Francois Primeau5
1Department of Geography, University of California, Santa Barbara, California 93106, USA.
Nature
|February 10, 2017
概括
海洋循环的变化, 而不是排放, 是导致海洋二氧化碳 (CO2) 沉降的原因. 2000年代循环减弱增加了二氧化碳的吸收,但可能会限制未来人为二氧化碳的吸收.
科学领域:
- 海洋学
- 气候科学
- 生物地质化学
背景情况:
- 海洋吸收大约40%的人为二氧化碳 (CO2) 的排放量.
- 海洋二氧化碳吸收率在20世纪90年代呈现下降趋势,随后在2000年代呈现上升趋势.
研究的目的:
- 研究海洋二氧化碳吸收十年变化的主要驱动因素.
- 量化海洋循环变化对海洋碳汇的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用全球逆向模型分析了20世纪80年代至2000年代的海洋循环模式.
- 使用碳循环模型评估循环变化对二氧化碳吸收的影响.
主要成果:
- 上世纪90年代海上翻转循环的增强导致天然二氧化碳的排放增加,削弱了全球沉.
- 这一趋势在2000年代发生了逆转,因为海洋循环减弱,增加了二氧化碳的吸收.
- 海洋循环的十年变化被认为是影响海洋二氧化碳沉积变化的主要因素.
结论:
- 海洋循环的减弱预计将在短期内通过将二氧化碳封存到深海中来加强二氧化碳的吸收.
- 海洋循环的长期减弱可能最终限制海洋吸收人为产生的二氧化碳的能力.
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