自1940年以来绝对收入流动性的趋势
Raj Chetty1, David Grusky2, Maximilian Hell3
1Department of Economics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA. chetty@stanford.edu grusky@stanford.edu nhendren@fas.harvard.edu.
概括
绝对收入流动性,即孩子收入高于父母的可能性, 显著下降. 不仅仅是国内生产总值的增长,
科学领域:
- 经济学
- 社会学
- 公共政策
背景情况:
- 绝对收入流动性衡量了孩子超越父母经济地位的可能性.
- 历史数据显示,近几十年来,美国的上升流动性大幅下降.
研究的目的:
- 要量化美国出生群体的绝对收入流动性下降.
- 确定影响收入流动性的因素.
- 探讨恢复更高流动率的政策影响.
主要方法:
- 结合美国人口普查和当前人口调查数据,
- 分析了纵向数据以追踪跨世代的收入变化.
- 不同出生群体的绝对收入流动率估计.
主要成果:
- 绝对收入流动性从1940年的约90%降至1980年的50%
- 仅仅是国内生产总值的增长不足以使流动性恢复到1940年代的水平.
- 更公平地分配国内生产总值的增长, 类似于20世纪40年代,
结论:
- 绝对收入流动性下降是一个具有深远社会影响的重要趋势.
- 恢复美国梦需要经济增长,
- 促进更广泛地分享经济成果的政策对于增强代际流动性至关重要.
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