潜伏巨型地震的隐藏简单性
M-A Meier1, J P Ampuero2, T H Heaton2
1Seismological Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA mmeier@caltech.edu.
概括
大型潜伏区地震表现出普遍的破裂行为,尽管明显的变化. 这一发现表明地震的强度不能仅仅从破裂开始的特征来预测.
科学领域:
- 地质学
- 地震学
- 地震科学
背景情况:
- 潜伏界面上的巨大地震是最大和最具破坏性的.
- 了解它们的破裂行为对于物理和预警系统至关重要.
- 事件的变化以前阻碍了简单的统一模型.
研究的目的:
- 调查大射区地震破裂的普遍行为.
- 要确定一个统一的模型是否可以描述巨型冲击事件的变化.
主要方法:
- 对三个源时间函数 (STF) 数据集的分析.
- 聚焦潜伏区地震,时刻大小 (Mw) ≥7.
主要成果:
- 一个典型的,普遍的行为被确定在大型沉降区地震.
- 中间STF是可扩展的,线性增长,几乎是三角形的.
- 偏离中位数的行为是乘数和高斯式,随着事件大小的扩大.
结论:
- 尽管存在明显的差异,但大型冲击破裂具有共同的基本行为.
- 根据这种普遍的行为,地震的强度是无法预测的.
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