非洲保护区的战争和野生动物减少
Joshua H Daskin1, Robert M Pringle1
1Department of Ecology & Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey 08544, USA.
Nature
|January 11, 2018
概括
武装冲突的频率显著预测了非洲保护区的大量草食动物数量下降. 冲突地区的保护工作和停火后的干预对于物种的生存至关重要.
科学领域:
- 生态学
- 保护生物学
- 野生动物管理
背景情况:
- 大型哺乳动物的数量对于生态系统的健康至关重要,
- 了解人口减少的驱动因素对于有效的保护至关重要.
- 武装冲突对野生动物群体的影响仍然不确定.
研究的目的:
- 量化武装冲突对非洲保护区大型食草动物种群趋势的影响.
- 确定冲突频率作为野生动物数量下降的预测因素.
- 在受冲突影响的地区制定保护战略.
主要方法:
- 分析1946-2010年非洲71%的大型食草动物种群趋势.
- 统计模型评估冲突频率与人口变化之间的相关性.
- 在不同程度的冲突和其他环境因素下比较人口发展轨迹.
主要成果:
- 冲突频率是野生动物人口趋势的最重要预测因素.
- 人口减少,冲突频率甚至略有增加.
- 人口在和平时期是稳定的,但随着冲突而显著下降,尽管完全崩是罕见的.
- 人类人口密度与近年来野生动物的发展轨迹有正相关性.
结论:
- 武装冲突对非洲保护区的大型食草动物群体构成重大威胁.
- 在冲突地区持续的保护工作和停火后的快速干预至关重要.
- 保护计划必须考虑到冲突的影响, 以防止物种的减少和灭绝.
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