俄克拉荷马州的诱导性地震与废水注入深度密切相关
Thea Hincks1,2, Willy Aspinall1,2,3, Roger Cooke4,5
1School of Earth Science, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1RJ, UK.
概括
废水注入深度对俄克拉荷马州的影响很大
科学领域:
- 地震科学
- 地质学
- 环境科学
背景情况:
- 自2009年以来, 俄克拉荷马州的地震发生率急剧增加,
- 喷射深度在诱导地震中的确切作用仍然是危险评估和监管的复杂和关键问题.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个先进的模型来了解废水注入参数与地震性的关系.
- 确定最佳的注入深度策略,以减轻诱导的地震风险.
主要方法:
- 开发了先进的贝叶斯网络,以模拟空间,操作和地震性参数之间的联合条件依赖性.
- 分析了注入深度,体积,速度和地震时刻释放之间的相关性.
主要成果:
- 与晶体底层相对的注射深度与地震时刻释放的相关性最强.
- 注射深度和体积的综合影响至关重要;注射速率在地下界面附近的影响更大.
- 将注射深度限制在地下层200-500米之上, 可以减少每年1.4至2.8倍的地震时刻释放.
结论:
- 有针对性的注射深度调节可以显著减轻诱导地震的危险.
- 开发的贝叶斯网络方法有助于运营商和监管机构识别废水处理的高风险分区域.
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