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生态系统的变暖扩大了植被活动,但增加了对低温的脆弱性
Andrew D Richardson1,2,3, Koen Hufkens4, Thomas Milliman5
1Department of Organismic and Evolutionary Biology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA. Andrew.Richardson@nau.edu.
Nature
|August 10, 2018
概括
气候变化对植物现象有重大影响. 在北极沼泽地区的变暖延迟了秋季的绿化,提前了春季的绿化,延长了生长季节,但增加了伤害风险.
科学领域:
- 生态学
- 气候变化生物学
- 植物科学
背景情况:
- 植物现象变化是气候变化影响的关键指标.
- 关于未来现象趋势的驱动因素存在不确定性,从温度转向光周期主导的潜在转变.
研究的目的:
- 研究整个生态系统的试验变暖对北极Picea-Sphagnum沼泽的植物现象的影响.
- 评估光周期与温度在变暖条件下驱动现象反应中的作用.
- 在未来的气候场景中预测植被活动的扩展和相关风险.
主要方法:
- 使用数字重复摄影来得出现象过渡日期.
- 应用了高达9°C的整个生态系统的试验加热处理.
- 通过直接观察植物和生殖现象和多年数据收集得到证实.
主要成果:
- 实验性变暖与秋季延迟的绿化和春季先进的绿化在占主导地位的木质物种中呈线性相关性.
- 观察到的现象反应显示光周期约束的证据很少.
- 预计到本世纪末,植物活动在温和变暖下延长1-2周,在高排放下延长3-6周.
- 由于光周期信号失效和耐性损失导致的春季后的严重组织死亡记录.
结论:
- 暖化显著改变了北极沼泽的现象,延长了植被活动的时间.
- 由于现象不匹配,春季伤的风险可能会增加.
- 目前的植被策略可能在未来的气候制度下变得不理想,需要适应.
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