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Global Climate Change01:50

Global Climate Change

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Throughout its ~4.5 billion year history, the Earth has experienced periods of warming and cooling. However, the current drastic increase in global temperatures is well outside of the Earth’s cyclic norms, and evidence for human-caused global climate change is compelling. Paleoclimatology, the study of ancient climate conditions, provides ample evidence for human-caused global climate change by comparing recent conditions with those in the past.
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Small population sizes put a species at extreme risk of extinction due to a lack of variation, and a consequent decrease in adaptability. This weakens the chances of survival under pressures such as climate change, competition from other species, or new diseases. Large populations are more likely to survive pressures such as these, as such populations are more likely to harbor individuals that have genetic variants that are adaptive under new stresses. Small populations are much less...
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A population is composed of members of the same species that simultaneously live and interact in the same area. When individuals in a population breed, they pass down their genes to their offspring. Many of these genes are polymorphic, meaning that they occur in multiple variants. Such variations of a gene are referred to as alleles. The collective set of all the alleles within a population is known as the gene pool.
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Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling
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预测全球杀手种群因多聚合物污染而崩

Jean-Pierre Desforges1, Ailsa Hall2, Bernie McConnell3

  • 1Department of Bioscience, Arctic Research Centre, Aarhus University, Frederiksborgvej 399, P.O. Box 358, 4000 Roskilde, Denmark. jpd@bios.au.dk rdi@bios.au.dk ajh7@st-andrews.ac.uk.

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多双 (PCB) 由于其生殖和免疫作用, 威胁着全球一半以上的杀种群. 这些持续的污染物带来了大量人口崩的风险,特别是在工业区附近.

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科学领域:

  • 海洋哺乳动物毒理学
  • 环境污染物
  • 人口生存能力分析

背景情况:

  • 杀手 (Orcinus orca) 在全球范围内表现出高水平的多二 (PCB) 污染.
  • 人们对持久性有机污染物对海洋哺乳动物群体的健康影响存在担忧.
  • 已知PCB是内分泌干扰剂和免疫毒素.

研究的目的:

  • 根据目前的PCB暴露水平,评估杀手种群的长期生存能力.
  • 确定受PCB影响风险最高的群体.
  • 突出PCB对海洋生态系统的持续威胁.

主要方法:

  • 使用基于个人的模型框架.
  • 纳入全球可用的杀手组织中的PCB度数据.
  • 模拟了PCB对生殖和免疫功能的影响.

主要成果:

  • 超过50%的全球杀种群面临PCB的长期生存威胁.
  • 工业化地区附近的种群和高食量种群面临着很高的崩风险.
  • 尽管30多年前在全球范围内颁布了禁令, 但PCB污染仍是一个持续的威胁.

结论:

  • 目前的PCB暴露危及许多杀手种群的长期生存.
  • 迫切需要采取保护策略来减轻持久化学污染物的影响.
  • 由于PCB的持续存在,因此需要持续监测和管理遗留污染物.