衡量人力资本:195个国家和地区的系统分析,1990-2016年
Stephen S Lim1, Rachel L Updike1, Alexander S Kaldjian1
1Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Lancet (London, England)
|September 30, 2018
概括
包括教育和健康在内的人力资本是经济增长的重要推动力. 这项研究引入了一个新的全球预期人力资本指标,对于跟踪投资和提高全球生产力至关重要.
科学领域:
- 全球健康
- 经济学
- 人口统计
背景情况:
- 人类资本是人口教育和健康的关键经济增长决定因素.
- 世界银行倡导人力资本测量以指导健康和教育投资.
- 这项研究提供了一个全新的,全面的全球人力资本指标.
研究的目的:
- 在195个国家开发和介绍一个新的,全面的人力资本指标.
- 为教育,学习和健康提供预期的人力资本的具体估计.
- 分析1990年至2016年的全球人力资本形成变化和趋势.
主要方法:
- 预期的人力资本 (20-64岁) 的时间尺度,调整为教育,学习质量和功能健康.
- 使用了2522次人口普查/调查的教育成就和1894次学习测试的数据.
- 2016年全球疾病,伤害和风险因素综合研究 (GBD 2016) 的健康状况和死亡率数据.
主要成果:
- 2016年,芬兰的人力资本预期最高 (28.4年),尼日尔人力资本预期最低 (<1.6年).
- 有44个国家超过20年,68个国家低于10年.
- 人力资本的改善与更快的经济增长相关;最高四分位数的改善者平均GDP增长2.60%.
结论:
- 各国的人力资本发展的速度各不相同.
- 监控人力资本的生产,提高了对健康和教育投资的问责制.
- 这项新措施有助于追踪进展并激励全球对人力资本的投资.
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