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评估土地利用变化减缓气候变化的效率
Timothy D Searchinger1,2, Stefan Wirsenius3, Tim Beringer4
1Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA. tsearchi@princeton.edu.
Nature
|December 14, 2018
概括
制定新的碳效益指数有助于量化气候政策的土地利用效率. 这一指标更好地评估土地使用变化的气候影响,包括碳储存和粮食生产.
科学领域:
- 环境科学
- 气候科学
- 农业科学
背景情况:
- 由于农业扩张和生产,土地利用变化对温室气体排放 (20-25%) 有重大影响.
- 气候战略需要增加陆地碳储存,同时满足日益增长的全球粮食需求 (到2050年超过50%).
- 目前的方法很难有效地衡量土地利用变化对温室气体排放的影响,
研究的目的:
- 提出一种新的"碳效益指数",用以量化碳储存和温室气体减排方面的土地利用效率.
- 为评估各种土地产出,农业投入和不同土地生产率提供一个共同的指标.
主要方法:
- 开发了一种碳效益指数,以评估土地利用变化对全球碳储存和温室气体排放的贡献.
- 应用该指数来评估各种土地使用和消费选择,包括重新造林,生物燃料生产和饮食转变.
- 专注于量化每公产品类型,数量和生产过程的变化.
主要成果:
- 拟议的指数提供了比标准方法更全面的土地利用对气候影响的评估.
- 评估的土地使用选择显示气候影响远远大于此前的理解.
- 标准评估方法系统地低估了非农用土地的碳储存潜力.
结论:
- 碳效益指数对于优化土地利用在气候政策中至关重要.
- 准确地测量土地利用效率对于平衡粮食安全和气候减缓目标至关重要.
- 重新思考土地使用评估可以通过加强碳捕获来释放减缓气候变化的巨大机遇.
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