加强对大气温室气体危险性发现的科学支持
Philip B Duffy1, Christopher B Field2,3, Noah S Diffenbaugh2,3
1Woods Hole Research Center, Falmouth, MA 02540, USA. pduffy@whrc.org.
Science (New York, N.Y.)
|December 15, 2018
概括
目前最新的科学证据证实,温室气体危害公共健康和福利. 新数据强化了人为气候变化与严重影响之间的联系,包括以前未知的风险.
科学领域:
- 环境科学
- 气候科学
- 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 美国环境保护局 (EPA) 在2009年发布了6种温室气体的危险发现.
- 自2009年以来,对气候变化影响的科学理解有了重大进展.
- 评估新的证据对于评估当前的风险至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 评估2009年环保署危害调查结果后公布的温室气体科学证据.
- 确定新的证据是否加强或削弱这些气体危害公共健康和福利的结论.
- 确定与人为气候变化相关的新出现的风险和影响.
主要方法:
- 自2009年危发现以来发表的科学文献的系统审查.
- 分析将温室气体排放与观察到的和预测到的气候影响联系在一起的证据.
- 评估潜在影响的严重程度和范围,包括新的途径.
主要成果:
- 新证据越来越多地支持温室气体危害公共健康和福利的结论.
- 人为气候变化与某些影响之间的关联得到了近期数据的加强.
- 一些影响现在被认为可能比以前评估的更严重.
- 通过不经考虑的过程,已经确定了额外影响的重大风险.
结论:
- 科学证据越来越多地支持温室气体对公众健康和福利的危害.
- 人为气候变化带来的风险可能比以前理解的更严重.
- 需要进一步研究和考虑新的影响途径,以充分应对气候风险.
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