根据大气观测,中国东部的CFC-11排放量增加
Nature
|May 24, 2019
概括
已发现中国东部的三甲 (CFC-11) 排放量有所增加,这对全球排放量有很大影响. 这种新生产和使用CFC-11与逐步淘汰破坏臭氧层物质的国际协议不一致.
科学领域:
- 大气化学和环境科学.
- 保护臭氧层和减缓气候变化
背景情况:
- 层级臭氧层的恢复取决于减少破坏臭氧的气体,如化碳 (CFC).
- 大气中的CFC-11度一直在下降,
- 东亚的CFC-11排放量有所增加,但来源地区和规模尚不清楚.
研究的目的:
- 调查和确定在东亚地区增加的CFC-11排放的区域来源和规模.
- 确定东亚排放对CFC-11全球增加的贡献.
- 评估"蒙特利尔议定书"对CFC生产和使用的遵守.
主要方法:
- 使用来自韩国和日本的高频大气观测.
- 综合全球监测数据与大气化学物质运输模型模拟.
- 分析了2008-2012年和2014-2017年间的CFC-11排放变化
主要成果:
- 在2014年至2017年期间,中国大陆东部的显著CFC-11排放量比2008年至2012年高7.0±3.0 Gg/年.
- 排放量增加主要集中在中国东北部的山东和河北省.
- 确定这些中国的排放占全球CFC-11排放增加的40-60%.
- 没有证据表明其他东亚国家或其他监测的全球地区的CFC-11排放量有所增加.
结论:
- 中国东部的CFC-11排放增加可能是由于新的生产和使用.
- 这一发现与"蒙特利尔议定书"在2010年之前逐步停止全球CFC生产相矛盾.
- 由于潜在来源地区的数据稀少,需要进一步的监测来归因于全球CFC-11排放的剩余增加.
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