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全球树木恢复潜力

Jean-Francois Bastin1, Yelena Finegold2, Claude Garcia3,4

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全球树木恢复提供了一个强大的气候变化解决方案, 迫切需要采取行动,因为到2050年气候变化可能会缩小这一潜力.

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科学领域:

  • 环境科学
  • 减缓气候变化
  • 生态学

背景情况:

  • 树木恢复是缓解气候变化的关键策略.
  • 了解全球潜在的树木覆盖面对于有效的气候行动至关重要.
  • 预计气候变化的影响将改变未来土地适合森林的情况.

研究的目的:

  • 绘制树木覆盖面的全球扩张潜力.
  • 量化恢复森林的碳捕获潜力.
  • 评估气候变化对未来树木覆盖面的影响.

主要方法:

  • 在当前气候条件下对潜在树木覆盖面的全球绘制.
  • 不包括现有的森林,农业和城市地区.
  • 在预测的气候变化场景下建模未来的潜在树木覆盖面.

主要成果:

  • 在目前的气候条件下,全球有44亿公的树冠覆盖面.
  • 另外还有90亿公可供恢复, 能够储存205千亿碳.
  • 到2050年,气候变化可能会使全球潜在的树冠覆盖面减少约2.23亿公,特别是在热带地区.

结论:

  • 全球树木恢复是缓解气候变化的重要和有效解决方案.
  • 必须立即采取行动,
  • 这些发现强调了利用树木恢复实现气候目标的双重机会和紧迫性.