城市热岛的规模主要取决于气候和人口
Gabriele Manoli1,2, Simone Fatichi3, Markus Schläpfer4
1Institute of Environmental Engineering, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland. g.manoli@ucl.ac.uk.
Nature
|September 6, 2019
概括
城市热岛 (UHI) 由于蒸发转化极限而加剧降雨,影响城市规模. 降温策略在干旱地区更有效, 需要热带城市的新解决方案.
科学领域:
- 环境科学
- 气候科学
- 城市规划
背景情况:
- 城市热岛使全球气候变化加剧与热相关的死亡风险.
- 现有的UHI强度模型没有统一的解释与人口和降水相关的变化.
- 目前还没有特定于地理位置的UHI缓解指导方针.
研究的目的:
- 分析全球夏季城市和农村表面温度差异 (ΔTs).
- 确定全球UHI强度变化的关键驱动因素.
- 开发一个将人口,气候和UHI强度联系在一起的模型,以实现有针对性的缓解.
主要方法:
- 全球夏季城市和农村表面温度差异的分析 (ΔTs).
- 研究了 ΔTs 和降水之间的非线性关系.
- 开发了一个综合人口,背景气候和UHI强度的粗粒度模型.
主要成果:
- 观察到 ΔTs 与降水的非线性增加,通过蒸发转化控制.
- 城市和农村地区之间的蒸发和对流效率差异是主要的变暖决定因素.
- ΔTs与城市大小的缩放是由降水驱动的非线性调节的.
结论:
- 降温策略,如增加绿色覆盖和白色,在干旱地区最有效.
- 热带城市的冷却策略需要创新的,具体的解决方案.
- 了解非线性UHI动态对于有效的城市气候适应至关重要.
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