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全球生产生态系统的解剖学和弹性

M Nyström¹, J-B Jouffray^2,3, A V Norström²

¹Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden. magnus.nystrom@su.se.

|November 8, 2019

概括

全球生物质生产系统正在变得均,相互联系,导致短期收益但长期风险. 可持续性需要金融重定向,供应链透明度以及跨国公司的参与.

科学领域:

农业科学
生态系统科学
全球经济

背景情况:

地球的生物圈广泛用于生物质生产 (食品,燃料,纤维).
增加这些系统的简化,强化和市场整合.

研究的目的:

分析全球生物质生产生态系统的结构和风险.
建议制定战略,以实现可持续发展.

主要方法:

全球生产生态系统特征的分析.
评估短期可预测性与长期风险.

主要成果:

全球生产生态系统均,高度连接,内部反较弱.
短期生物质供应量很高,可以预测.
新的和普遍的长期风险的出现.

结论:

系统特征为未来的重大风险创造了条件.
可持续性需要金融重定向,供应链透明度和关键参与者.

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