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在试验捕食者-猎物系统中长期周期性持续性

Bernd Blasius1,2, Lars Rudolf3, Guntram Weithoff4,5

  • 1Institute for Chemistry and Biology of the Marine Environment ICBM, University of Oldenburg, Oldenburg, Germany. blasius@icbm.de.

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生态捕食者-猎物循环可以持续前所未有的时间,证明了自我维持的种群动态. 这些周期表现出对随机性的适应性,表明长期生态稳定的潜力.

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科学领域:

  • 生态学
  • 人口动态
  • 理论生态学

背景情况:

  • 捕食者-猎物循环是基本的生态概念,从理论上讲,它可以使种群持续无限期.
  • 现实世界周期动态的持续时间和自我可持续性仍然是生态学的开放问题.
  • 之前的研究表明在没有外部稳定因素的实验环境中,

研究的目的:

  • 在受控的实验环境中研究捕食者-猎物周期的长期自我维持性.
  • 描述捕食者和猎物的动态在长时间内.
  • 探索随机性在调节周期动态中的作用.

主要方法:

  • 使用浮游生物捕食者捕食系统进行微观实验.
  • 对人口动态的时间序列数据的观察和分析.
  • 数学建模以解释观察到的动态.
  • 用脉冲营养供应进行实验操作,以测试随机性效应.

主要成果:

  • 观察到前所未有的振荡时间序列,持续长达~50个周期 (~300个捕食者世代).
  • 主导的动态具有规律,连贯的振荡与持续的捕食者-猎物相差.
  • 发生了较短的不规则,不连贯的振荡,但系统倾向于恢复连贯的动态.
  • 随机性,可能来自营养供应,涉及连贯和非连贯动态之间的转变.

结论:

  • 捕食者捕食系统可以长时间表现出自我维持的循环动态.
  • 观察到的周期性状态表现出对随机事件的弹性,并倾向于恢复到连贯的振荡.
  • 经验证实了捕食者和猎物种群在循环动态中长期存在的潜力.