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旧的碳储备在降冰的甲预算中并不重要
M N Dyonisius1, V V Petrenko2, A M Smith3
1Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Rochester, Rochester, NY 14627, USA. mdyonisi@ur.rochester.edu.
概括
在过去的变暖事件中, 古代碳来源的甲排放量很小. 这表明未来的变暖可能不会从永久土和水合物中释放大量的甲.
科学领域:
- 气候科学
- 古气候学
- 地质化学
背景情况:
- 永久土和甲水化合物储存了大量的旧碳.
- 地球变暖可能会释放甲,这是一个强大的温室气体.
- 过去的降冰事件为气候驱动的甲释放提供了洞察力.
研究的目的:
- 在最后一次脱冰过程中,从旧的碳库中量化甲排放.
- 评估从永久土和水合物中大量释放甲的可能性,以应对未来的变暖.
- 估计生物质燃烧产生的工业前甲排放量.
主要方法:
- 用同位素测量甲的冰芯分析 (Δ14C, δ13C和 δD).
- 在最后一次脱冰过程中重建甲来源和排放.
- 与工业化前和现代甲预算的脱冰排放量比较
主要成果:
- 在脱冰期变暖期间,旧碳库的甲排放量很小 (<19 Tg/年).
- 在工业化前的全新纪,生物质燃烧的甲含量达到22-56 Tg/年,相当于今天的水平.
- 结果表明,在过去的变暖下,永久土和水合物释放的甲有限.
结论:
- 过去的变暖并没有引发旧碳库的大量甲排放.
- 永久土和水合物的未来甲排放量不太可能达到预期的水平.
- 生物质燃烧是工业化前的甲来源之一.
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