定量SARS-CoV-2传播表明使用数字接触追踪来控制流行病
Luca Ferretti1, Chris Wymant1, Michelle Kendall1
1Big Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
概括
针对SARS-CoV-2 (严重急性呼吸系统综合征-冠状病毒2) 的数字联系追踪可以控制流行病的传播. 一个接触者追踪应用程序,如果被广泛采用,可以快速通知暴露的个人,防止广泛的锁定.
科学领域:
- 流行病学
- 公共卫生
- 数字健康
背景情况:
- SARS-CoV-2 (严重急性呼吸道综合征-冠状病毒2) 的出现构成了严重的全球健康威胁,其特点是高死亡率和医疗保健系统的压力.
- 防止SARS-CoV-2的进一步传播是减轻其影响的关键优先事项.
研究的目的:
- 分析SARS-CoV-2流行病传播的关键参数.
- 估计各种传播途径对整体传播的贡献.
- 确定有效隔离病例和追踪接触者的必要要求,以制止疫情.
主要方法:
- 对SARS-CoV-2的流行传播参数的分析.
- 模拟接触追踪场景,包括手动和基于应用程序的方法.
- 评估数字联系人追踪应用对疫情控制的潜在影响.
主要成果:
- 手动接触追踪不足以阻止SARS-CoV-2的快速传播.
- 一个可扩展,高效和快速的接触追踪应用程序可以实现流行病控制.
- 广泛采用基于近距离的联系人追踪应用程序可以实现有针对性的风险沟通,从而避免大规模隔离造成的社会破坏.
结论:
- 数字接触追踪为控制SARS-CoV-2流行病提供了一种可行的策略.
- 基于应用程序的联系追踪可以促进快速通知和风险评估, 这对制至关重要.
- 对于成功实施数字公共卫生干预措施而言,道德考虑至关重要.
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