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现存的时间树与无数的多样化历史一致
Stilianos Louca1,2, Matthew W Pennell3,4
1Department of Biology, University of Oregon, Eugene, OR, USA. louca.research@gmail.com.
Nature
|April 24, 2020
概括
仅凭现有的时间表无法可靠地估计多元化动态,因为无限的一致场景. 新的可识别变量提供了更强大的方法,但古生物学数据仍然对宏观进化洞察力至关重要.
科学领域:
- 进化生物学
- 遗传学
- 计算生物学
背景情况:
- 现存物种的时间校准类型 (现存时间树) 是推断多样化的标准工具.
- 这些推断的可靠性受到质疑,关于它们的准确性仍在争论中.
研究的目的:
- 澄清出生死亡模型中的现有时间树的信息内容.
- 调查多元化情景的识别能力.
主要方法:
- 数学证明存在一致的多样化场景.
- 从现有的时间树中引入和估计可识别的变量.
主要成果:
- 无限数量的一致多样化场景可以产生相同的现存时间表,使它们无法区分.
- 一致的场景可能表现出显著不同的可信的动态,可能导致过度解释遗传学证据.
结论:
- 现有的时间树仅提供了关于过去多元化动态的有限信息.
- 专注于可识别的变量提供了更强大的估计方法.
- 为了解决某些宏观进化问题,古生物学数据仍然是必不可少的.
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