极端降雨引发了2018年基拉韦亚火山的裂喷发
Jamie I Farquharson1, Falk Amelung2
1Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA. james.farquharson@rsmas.miami.edu.
Nature
|April 24, 2020
概括
极端降雨可能是基拉韦亚火山在2018年爆发的原因,因为它增加了地下孔隙压力. 这表明降水可能会影响火山活动和危险评估,特别是随着气候变化.
科学领域:
- * 火山学
- * 地质学
- * 气候科学
背景情况:
- 基拉韦亚火山的2018年裂入侵和喷发是非同寻常的,
- 引发了人们对降雨对深层火山系统的影响的质疑.
- 现有研究表明降雨可能会影响浅层火山活动,但深层岩运输的影响尚不清楚.
研究的目的:
- * 调查降雨透在引发2018年Kīlauea火山爆发中的作用.
- * 确定降雨是否会影响孔压力.
- * 评估降雨可能影响火山活动和火山爆发时间.
主要方法:
- 在Kīlauea火山内1-3公里的孔隙压力数据分析.
- * 孔隙压力变化与降水记录和喷发事件的相关性.
- 历史喷发和入侵事件的统计分析与降雨模式相关.
主要成果:
- * 降雨透在1-3公里深处显著增加了地表孔隙压力 (0.1-1千帕),在喷发前达到近50年的最高水平.
- * 增加的孔隙压力可能削弱了火山建筑,促进了堤入侵和喷发.
- * 喷发缺乏前期的峰值膨胀,支持降水引起的触发而不是强烈的岩入侵.
结论:
- * 降雨引起的孔隙压力变化可能引发火山建筑的故障,导致堤入侵和喷发.
- * 降雨模式是Kīlauea喷发和入侵的时间和频率的一个重要因素.
- 与气候变化相关的极端天气可能会增加降雨引发火山事件的全球风险,需要更新危险评估.
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