衡量和预测与教育相关的可持续发展目标的进展
Joseph Friedman1,2, Hunter York1, Nicholas Graetz1,3
1Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Nature
|May 1, 2020
概括
全球教育的进展表明,到2030年,初等教育将几乎普及,但中等和高等教育面临挑战. 虽然学校教育的性别差距正在缩小,但在某些地区,教育不平等仍然存在,在2017年达到顶峰,并预计将下降.
科学领域:
- 社会科学
- 发展研究
- 教育政策
背景情况:
- 教育是国家福祉和发展的关键指标.
- 可持续发展目标强调教育进步和公平.
- 了解教育不平等对于实现全球发展目标至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 模拟国家内部教育年数的分布.
- 分析自1970年以来的教育不平等趋势.
- 预测实现2030年与教育相关的可持续发展目标的进展.
主要方法:
- 一个国家内部学校分配模型的开发.
- 从1970年开始的历史学年数据的分析.
- 预测未来的教育成绩和不平等指标.
主要成果:
- 预计到2030年,全球将实现近乎普遍的小学教育,但中学和高等教育的毕业率仍是一个挑战.
- 全球学校教育的性别差距几乎已经缩小,但在特定地区仍然存在显著差异.
- 在全球范围内,教育不平等在2017年达到顶峰,预计到2030年将下降,预计18个国家的女性在教育成就方面将超过男性.
结论:
- 制定的框架可以追踪国家在实现可持续发展教育目标和不平等水平方面的进展.
- 减少教育不平等对于公平的人力资本分配和社会发展至关重要.
- 需要持续监测和有针对性的干预措施来解决剩余的教育差异.
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