新兴的流行病:我们如何到达COVID-19
David M Morens1, Anthony S Fauci1
1Office of the Director, National Institute of Allergy & Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Cell
|August 27, 2020
概括
了解从动物产生病原体是防止未来流行病的关键. 研究人类,动物,病原体和环境之间的复杂相互作用有助于控制传染病的爆发.
科学领域:
- 生态学与进化生物学
- 微生物学
- 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 人类和动物的许多传染病源于动物宿主中的病原体.
- 新的传染病定期出现,有时会导致COVID-19等流行病.
- 已确定的疾病也可能随着传染性或致病性增加而重新出现.
研究的目的:
- 了解导致传染病出现的复杂生态因素.
- 确定控制未来灾难性疾病爆发的关键变量.
主要方法:
- 对病原体出现动态的分析.
- 生态系统建模.
- 历史和当前传染病事件的审查.
主要成果:
- 疾病的出现是生态平衡和不平衡的动态结果.
- 涉及人类,动物,病原体和环境的全球生态系统是关键.
- 了解这些相互作用对于疾病控制至关重要.
结论:
- 控制未来的疾病爆发需要对生态变量有全面的了解.
- 需要跨学科的方法来预测和减轻流行病风险.
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