全球二氧化来源和沉积点的综合量化
Hanqin Tian1, Rongting Xu2, Josep G Canadell3
1International Center for Climate and Global Change Research, School of Forestry and Wildlife Sciences, Auburn University, Auburn, AL, USA. tianhan@auburn.edu.
Nature
|October 8, 2020
概括
由于人类活动,特别是农业,氧化 (N2O) 的排放量正在上升. 这种增长推动了气候变化和臭氧层的减少,
科学领域:
- 环境科学
- 大气化学
- 气候科学
背景情况:
- 氧化 (N2O) 是一种有力温室气体,有助于臭氧消耗和气候变化.
- 目前的N2O库存是不完整的,缺乏自然来源和精确的人为归因.
- 大气中的N2O度每十年增加约2%.
研究的目的:
- 提供包括自然和人为来源的全球N2O清单.
- 使用多种方法从1980年到2016年量化N2O源和沉.
- 分析增加N2O排放的驱动因素并确定新出现的趋势.
主要方法:
- 综合自下而上的方法:库存,流量测量,陆地/海洋建模.
- 从上而下的方法:大气逆向建模.
- 对21个自然和人类部门的N2O排放和沉的分析.
主要成果:
- 在2007-2016年间,全球N2O排放量估计为17.0 TgN yr-1 (自下而上) 和16.9 TgN yr-1 (自上而下).
- 在过去的40年里,人类产生的N2O排放量增加了30%,主要来自耕地,达到每年7.3万亿.
- 在新兴经济体 (巴西,中国,印度) 观察到显著的N2O排放增长.
结论:
- 增加的N2O排放主要是由人类活动,特别是农业添加.
- 一个新兴的N2O气候反循环被确定,由添加和气候变化驱动.
- 气排放的快速增长超过了预测,突显了缓解战略的关键需求.
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